Friday, April 30, 2010

Weekly E-Magazine : Indian markets failed to continue positive momentum

 
 

Dear KUNDAPUR GOVARDHANA KINI,

We understand the need for the right research to make smart  investment decisions. To keep you well informed, we present the market outlook for this week.

 

Previous Week : Indian markets failed to continue the positive momentum

 
 

Indian markets failed to continue the positive momentum and posted a negative return for the past week. The beginning of the week was on the positive note. However, the third trading day witnessed a sharp fall as global rating agency S&P cut its rating on Greece to junk raising fear of a default. Though both indices recovered some of the losses during the last couple of days, it was not enough for the markets to post a gain for the week.

On a week-on-week basis, the BSE Sensex fell by 135 points, or
    ~0.8%, to close at 17,558.71

The S&P CNX Nifty, on the other hand, closed down by 26

 

points, or ~0.5%, to close at 5,278 for the week

Food inflation, meanwhile, moderated to 16.61% for the week ended

 

April 17 giving some comfort to RBI

The government also succeeded in getting the finance bill passed in
  Parliament during the end of the week
 

Week Ahead : Market behaviour may remain subdued during the coming week

 
 

The recovery in equity markets during the prior week did not sustain in the past week, despite the market looking positive at the very beginning of the week. At present, there is lack of triggers for the market in the local space. It was expected that the global events could move the market in either direction. This happened again during the previous week with the downgrade of Greece by S&P. The concern of its default and the possible impact of that in the European zone dragged the global market down significantly. This pressure was felt in the Indian markets too despite very low chance of any significant direct impact of that on Indian economy. Thus, it suggests it would be difficult for Indian markets to completely avert the impact of any such global event.

Overall, volatility is likely to remain higher in the near future

The Nifty is looking well supported in the range of 5160-5200

 

It is unlikely to be breached on a closing basis in the absence of any

 

significant bearish event

On the higher side also the Nifty is likely to remain capped under
5400 in the short-term

Overall, the market behaviour may remain subdued during the

coming week

Sincerely,

ICICIdirect.com

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